Structural Analysis 2

Subtraction Design

How to design a world quite different from today

The Question from the Previous Chapter

Chapter 9 showed that every premise of current society is collapsing.

Fossil resources Depleting
Food production Must escape chemical fertilizer dependency
Industries Military, IT, desk work all shrinking
Population distribution No reason for Tokyo's extreme concentration
Trade The premise of free trade is collapsing
Healthcare and pensions Systems designed for urban salaried workers no longer fit

Incremental fixes will not work. A world quite different from today must be designed.

So what do we add, and what do we subtract?

The Principle of Subtraction

Subtraction means removing what was added during the era of fossil fuels and urban concentration. The minimum configuration that remains after every unnecessary thing has been removed is what fits the new premises. Not "add something to solve the problem," but "the premises changed, so take out what is no longer needed."

Apply this principle to all of society.

Subtract #1: Tokyo's Extreme Concentration

As Chapter 9 showed, 36 million people concentrated in Tokyo because of desk work. When desk work disappears, the reason for concentration disappears.

Subtract:
Commuting to Tokyo Subtract
Office buildings Subtract
Packed trains Subtract
30% of income on city-center rent Subtract

What remains:
Regional towns Shops, schools, clinics already exist
Farmland and forestland The foundation for bio-materials and food production
Water, sunlight, and soil Japan's true resources

Regional towns are already the destination, as they are. What we subtract is Tokyo's concentration — we do not need to add anything to rural Japan.

Subtract #2: The Premise of Free Trade

Free trade assumed cheap oil could ship goods from the other side of the planet. That premise is collapsing.

Subtract:
Cheap agricultural imports from abroad Subtract
Cheap foreign timber Subtract
The assumption that "domestic farming is inefficient" Subtract

What remains:
Food and timber produced on domestic farmland and forestland
Distribution that completes within the region
A local production, local consumption structure with near-zero transport costs
Direct distribution:
Farmer Consumer
Direct online sales, farmers' markets, CSA (community-supported agriculture)
Farmer's share 100%
Transport distance Minimized
Packaging Minimized (face-to-face needs none)
Subtract middlemen Subtract oil dependency Subtract cost

Subtract #3: Urban Healthcare and Pensions

Current healthcare: "Desk work destroys the body → Hospitals fix it." Current pensions: "Retire at 65 → Pensions support you." Both are systems designed for urban salaried workers.

Subtract:
Sedentary desk work Subtract (work becomes land-based)
Processed food dependency Subtract (replaced by food you grow yourself)
Lifestyle diseases Subtract (natural diet and exercise reduce them)
Enormous medical costs Subtract (unnecessary if you don't get sick)
The premise of retiring at 65 Subtract (physical work can continue longer)
Pension dependency Subtract (unnecessary if you don't retire)

Desk work society's healthcare and pensions: Sit and work → Body breaks down → Medicine fixes it → High cost Cannot work past 65 → Pensions support → Working generation bears the burden

Land-based society's healthcare and pensions: Physical work → Health maintained → Less medical dependency Work continues longer → Less pension dependency → Less institutional burden

Subtract "curing disease." Keep "not getting sick." Subtract "supporting with pensions." Keep "a life that doesn't need pensions."

Subtract #4: Enterprise IT Taxes

As Chapter 8 showed, companies pay enormous "IT taxes."

Subtract:
Oracle/SQL Server license fees Subtract (migrate to PostgreSQL + Claude)
Microsoft tax Subtract (migrate to open source)
SaaS monthly subscriptions Subtract (build your own)
Systems integrator billable hours Subtract (Claude replaces them)
Consultant fees Subtract (Claude handles structural analysis)

What remains:
A simple system run by 1 person + Claude
A self-hosted server costing a few dollars a month

This site is living proof.

How this site was built: Structural thinking: myself (1 person) Research: Gemini (literature review, fact-checking) Structure, writing, coding: Claude (Claude Code) Design and layout: Claude (CSS architecture) Translation: Claude (Japanese–English bilingual) A web agency would charge tens of thousands of dollars. This was built for AI subscription fees alone.

Subtract #5: Large Organizations

For large corporations, AI is a cost-cutting tool. For individuals, it is a capability multiplier.

Large corporation: 100 people AI automates 80 people's tasks 20 laid off
Efficiency gain: 20%
Individual: 1 person AI enables the output of 10
Capability expansion: 1,000%

Large organizations had three advantages: scale of personnel, scale of information, scale of capital. AI neutralizes personnel and information. Only capital remains. But knowledge work requires almost no capital.

Subtract the organization, and decisions become instant, pivots become frictionless, and fixed costs drop to nearly zero.

The Subtraction Blueprint

What to subtract Present After subtraction
Tokyo concentration 36 million commuting to offices Living in regional towns, surrounded by farmland and forestland
Free trade premise Shipping cheap goods from the other side of the planet Local production, local consumption. Domestic farmland and forestland
Middlemen Farmer→Coop→Wholesaler→Secondary wholesaler→Retailer→Consumer Farmer→Consumer (direct)
Urban healthcare Cure disease (¥1.6T/year on dialysis alone) Prevent disease (natural diet and exercise)
Pension dependency Retire at 65 → Pensions support Work continues → Pensions unnecessary
Enterprise IT taxes Oracle tax + Microsoft tax + SIer tax PostgreSQL + Claude + self-hosted server
Large organizations 100 people + management overhead 1 person + AI. Zero fixed costs
Platforms Social media dependency (algorithm-controlled) Own domain + static HTML

The common thread: subtract what was added during the era of fossil resources and urban concentration.

What remains after subtraction: water, land, plants, microorganisms, and human hands. Japan has all of these.

Subtraction Alone Is Not Enough — Regulations Must Be Redesigned

Subtraction happens naturally. When fossil resources deplete, what was added collapses on its own.

But old regulations do not disappear naturally. Agricultural land laws, free trade agreements, the healthcare system, the pension system, urban planning — regulations designed for the era of fossil resources and urban concentration are blocking the transformation.

To realize subtraction design, regulation redesign is essential. The next chapter draws the concrete regulatory reforms needed.

Food supply after fossil resources (regenerative agriculture, natural farming, Light Farming, and the unresolved problem of large-scale vegetable production) is covered in this site's natural-farming series. It falls outside the structural argument of subtraction and is not treated in this chapter.

← Prev: Regulation Redesign Next: Security Design for the Mythos Era →

With nature, we can live.

Subtract the unnecessary. What remains is enough.

AISeed — 生物多様性・食料・AIと暮らし(Facebook)